Who is Mysterious Belgium Buyer of U.S. Debt: Jim Rickards and Peter Schiff’s take

Jim Rickards says that the ECB could be buying the U.S. debt via Belgium with money from the U.S. Federal Reserve. The Federal Reserve would print U.S. dollars, gives them to the ECB, that goes through Euroclear and they buy the U.S. treasuries anonymously on the books of Belgium. Watch this extremely interesting video below.

Also Peter Schiff suspects, via his radio show, that it’s the ECB buying U.S. debt via Belgium. He doesn’t suspect it’s the Federal Reserve itself, because that would destroy their credibility of tapering QE.

What is clear is that this is not likely the government of Belgium, or private Belgian capital, that is doing the buying. The numbers are just too large. This is particularly true in the First Quarter of 2014 when the buying averaged a stunning $41.5 billion per month (January was the biggest month with $54 billion). In all likelihood, the only European buyer with a wallet that big would be the European Central Bank (ECB) itself.

Central banks shifting to gold

There has been much talk about central banks becoming net buyers of gold since the start of the economic crisis in 2008. I want to elaborate on that.

The world gold council (WGC) yearly reports on the amount of central bank gold sales. As of 2010, central banks have shifted from net sellers to net buyers of gold (Figure 1). And this has only happened recently! As we look at history, during the inflationary years of 1980, central banks were buying gold. Then a period of gold selling occured from 1989 till 2009 where gold went into a bear market. Central banks only shifted to buying gold since 2010. Which means we are going straight back into a bull market of gold.

Figure 1

The WGC expected growth in gold buying from central banks to continue throughout 2012. The projected growth of central bank gold buying was projected to be 336 tonnes of gold per year in 2011 (Figure 2). Their predictions were right as central banks added 450 tonnes during 2011.

Figure 2

By far, the increase in interest in gold is the highest within the sector of central banks as opposed to investment, bars, coins and ETF’s (Figure 3).

Figure 3

The top among those countries that increased their gold holdings in 2011 are: Mexico, Russia, Thailand, Bolivia, Korea (Figure 4). More recently, we see activity from Mongolia and Kazachstan.

Figure 4

Conclusion: Central banks know there is something going wrong with our fiat currency system. Otherwise they wouldn’t shift to buying gold, which started coincidentally after 2008: the year of the global financial crisis where money supply exploded. I suggest that we investors follow the big guys into buying gold, you don’t want to be left behind.