R-Star Vs. Real 10 Year Bond Yield

The R-Star from the New York Fed gives a measure of the natural real interest rate.

For example: On May 2023, the R-Star was 1.14% while the real 10 year bond yield was -1.5%. This means that the 10 year bond yield should rise further OR the CPI inflation rate should come down.

 

OPEC oil cuts Vs. Gold

OPEC oil cuts are good for gold. 

DUBAI, April 2, 2023 (Reuters) – Saudi Arabia and other OPEC+ oil producers on Sunday announced further oil output cuts of around 1.16 million

OPEC+ to cut oil production by 2 million barrels per day to shore up prices, defying U.S. pressure. PUBLISHED WED, OCT 5 2022

OPEC reaches agreement to cut oil production to 32.5 million barrels a day: Oil ministers PUBLISHED WED, NOV 30 2016

OPEC+ reaches deal to cut oil production by 9.7 million barrels per day Updated 10:01 AM EDT, Mon April 13, 2020

OPEC will cut another 1 million bpd in July 2023.