In the last few weeks we have seen a huge drop in gold and silver (see charts below from Kitco).
As a result of these price drops we have seen huge demand coming in from both East and West.
Let’s start with China. I like to reference the charts from Koos Jansen at Bullionstar.com.
As you can see on the chart above, China has been increasing its purchases of gold in the recent weeks when the price of gold dropped to $1150/ounce as opposed to what the mainstream media is saying about China’s demand going down. Gold premiums in Shanghai are going up on the newly created SGEI exchange, while gold premiums at the SGE exchange stayed flat at around 0%. On the SGEI, the premiums are approaching 1.5% now.
I have to note that the newly created SGEI is of high importance to many markets. For example, we have seen a big shift to the downside for the gold imports from Hong Kong to China. While recent numbers point out that China demand is 60 tonnes of gold per week (or 240 tonnes a month), Hong Kong gold imports to China have not been that robust in the previous months (see chart below from Correlation Economics). Net imports from Hong Kong to China have been hovering around levels of 30 tonnes/month. Only in the recent September 2014 numbers we saw a rebound. This tells me that Hong Kong is declining in importance as a gold hub to China. So investors should know that Hong Kong gold imports to China don’t accurately reflect China gold demand anymore.